Hurricane Ike

I know it has been a while since I last updated this blog. Among the things I have been doing is watching Hurricanes. This has been a very busy season for us. We are currently watching Hurricane Ike. This is the third named storm in the Gulf we have had to watch. It now appears it will make landfall far to the south of us. Hopefully we will get some rain from it as we are way behind average on rain fall so far this year. Below are a couple of screen shots from things we watch. The first shows current model results for Ike. Each model uses a different set of calculations to try to predict where the storm will go. As you can see, the farther out the prediction, the less agreement there is between models. Rather than pick one, we watch general trends. The second is the 5 day forecast from the national Hurricane Center. The line in the center is the current projected path. The shaded area is the uncertainty in the forecast. While the main path is to our south, we are still in the potential area of landfall. We will continue to monitor Ike’s path. However, right now I feel we dodged another bullet.